Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004541 0.004783 0.005033 0.005309 0.005607 0.005920 0.006272
2025-09-14 0.004064 0.004415 0.004792 0.005228 0.005723 0.006267 0.006916
2025-09-21 0.003812 0.004228 0.004687 0.005237 0.005880 0.006616 0.007527
2025-09-28 0.003517 0.003958 0.004458 0.005068 0.005802 0.006664 0.007765
2025-10-05 0.003363 0.003837 0.004383 0.005065 0.005904 0.006916 0.008250
2025-10-12 0.003281 0.003791 0.004389 0.005151 0.006111 0.007299 0.008912
2025-10-19 0.003147 0.003673 0.004299 0.005110 0.006152 0.007469 0.009302
2025-10-26 0.003033 0.003573 0.004224 0.005081 0.006200 0.007645 0.009705
2025-11-02 0.002926 0.003476 0.004147 0.005043 0.006232 0.007795 0.010077
2025-11-09 0.002885 0.003458 0.004167 0.005127 0.006426 0.008170 0.010782
2025-11-16 0.002802 0.003383 0.004110 0.005107 0.006476 0.008347 0.011209
2025-11-23 0.002723 0.003310 0.004052 0.005081 0.006514 0.008506 0.011617
2025-11-30 0.002631 0.003218 0.003966 0.005016 0.006496 0.008585 0.011914
2025-12-07 0.002542 0.003127 0.003878 0.004943 0.006464 0.008641 0.012177
2025-12-14 0.002490 0.003082 0.003850 0.004951 0.006545 0.008866 0.012719
2025-12-21 0.002379 0.002956 0.003709 0.004795 0.006380 0.008714 0.012637
2025-12-28 0.002331 0.002912 0.003677 0.004792 0.006439 0.008902 0.013127
2026-01-04 0.002314 0.002911 0.003703 0.004872 0.006624 0.009293 0.013986
2026-01-11 0.002259 0.002854 0.003650 0.004834 0.006629 0.009399 0.014359
2026-01-18 0.002209 0.002804 0.003605 0.004807 0.006648 0.009527 0.014778
2026-01-25 0.002159 0.002752 0.003556 0.004771 0.006652 0.009630 0.015158
2026-02-01 0.002148 0.002754 0.003583 0.004850 0.006837 0.010041 0.016135
2026-02-08 0.002108 0.002713 0.003547 0.004831 0.006866 0.010190 0.016630